Trey Lance

QB

North Dakota St.

Height

6'4"

Weight

226

Bench
40-Time
10-Time
20-Time
Vertical
Broad
20-Shuttle
60-Shuttle
3-Cone
Hand
Arm
Wingspan
9 1/8"
31 1/2"

Final Grade

7.55

Injury History

Games Evaluated

UC Davis (19)//UND(19)//Northern Iowa (19)//South Dakota (19)//Central Arkansas (20)

Team Fit

CAR

DET

MIN

Strengths 

Trey Lance has all the tools currently needed to play in the current NFL landscape. He's an effortless thrower with touch and zip. Can make plays off base and from all over the place, allowing for the entirety of the field to be at his disposal any given play. He manipulates arm angles well to change react the circumstances surrounding him, in order to get throws off (drop elbow, extend, etc.). He shows above average speed for the position and isn't afraid to take or issue hits with the ball in his hands. Carries the frame of an NFL RB. He can step up in the pocket and sense pressure adequately.

Weaknessess

His very good arm strength and ball placement can leave him trusting himself too much. Can force passes into windows that were open, but just a little late on his read. Though he shows good ball placement, he can lose some precision when his feet aren't set. This issue is magnified because he can rely on his arm to make up for his lower half not always being set. Needs to work on showing more consistent trust in his technique. Can use some work on looking off coverage over the top of routes to make plays easier for his receivers. Not always the same player at the start of a game, as he is at the end. Needs to take less hits at the next level, NFL teams don't enjoy seeing their franchise QB taking hits when they can be avoided.

Big Picture

Trey Lance entered the 2020 season with a lot of hype but after a disappointing game against Central Arkansas (only game in 2020), he enters the draft with more question marks than you wish. His 2020 game is troublesome but shouldn't be blown out of proportion the way many in the media have. Lance played in a very NFL friendly offense that translates well. Utilized a lot of RPOs, bootlegs, and schemes that are circulating more among the top offenses in the league. This couples well with Lance also having one of the best arms entering the league in recent memory. He has only one full season as a starter under his belt but showed good leadership and should transition to the NFL. As an unquestionable top 5 QB in this draft, Lance will likely not make it out of the top 15 and could benefit from serving behind a veteran as he continues to refine his technique and make a splash in the league, down the road.

Player Comp

Ryan Tannehill

Draft Projection

Athleticism:

7.8

When Lance has the ball in his hands, he becomes a running back. He is a downhill runner but also shows the ability to make moves to avoid defenders. He shows an above average speed and force misses well. Lance has shows a good ability to step up in the pocket and avoid pressure while also understanding when to exit.Still needs to work on avoiding hits when possible, when as a runner or bracing for hits in the pocket. Not being afraid to tuck and run but also keeps his options open and key in on developing routes. Has quick feet which allow him to maneuver the pocket.

Agility
Scrambling Ability and
RPO and Play Action
Explosiveness/Speed
Pocket Mobility/Avoid Pressure
8
8
7.75
7.75
7.5

Passing Skills:

Big Play Ability

7.25

Big Play Ability
Touch and Ball Placement
Arm Strength
Footwork
8.5
7.5
8.5
7.25
Quick-Release/Mechanics
Delivery
Short Accuracy
Intermediate Accuracy
Deep Accuracy
7
7.5
7.5
7.75
8.25

Lance has a bit quick delivery and can make it look so effortless. He has a natural level of arm talent. He usually has good ball placement in windows that only his receivers can make. On the move, Lance understands how to manipulate arm angles and release points in order to maintain a solid placement. He has the ability to make throws without properly gathering and stepping into throws but he can become overly reliant on that. due to how well he can make plays off base, his big play ability is a talent not a lot of the league possesses. Lance fits throws into tight windows but needs to identify reads and make decisions at a higher rate, this issue leads to him being late on throws and making throws in windows that are closing instead of while they open. Lance possesses good footwork when he chooses to show it, his A+ arm strength points makes him less likely to lean into his footwork. Stays moving (as opposed to stationary) and in position to make throws when needed. Shows a full range of different types of throws as he isn't afraid to throw a fastball or drop it in the bread basket.

7.69

Competitiveness:

Toughness
Intagibles/Leadership
Poise in Pocket
Consistency/Motor
Production
Improvisational Ability
7.75
7.5
7.75
7.75
7.75

Lance was called on to follow Easton Stick and NDSU didn't skip a beat leadserhip wise. Shows the ability to stand in the pocket and take shots, despite being faced with some pressure. After the play breaks down, Lance is still very dangerous due to his arm strength. He is capable of making plays from all over the place and isn't afraid to throw into tight windows, which is where he can hurt himself.

Intelligence:

7.19

Instincts
Field Vision
Decision Making
Pre-Snap Adjustment
Learn/Retain
7
7.75
6.75
7.25

There's two sides to Lance's tape. One side of him shows a great understand and field presence that allows him to keep the whole field open at all times. But he also has shown too much trust in arm at times and finding receivers open too late, leading to some questionable decision making. He shows a good understanding of defensive coverages and making key reads before the snap to identify alignments.