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2018 NFL Mock Draft: 4 QB’s in the 1st 5 picks

Written by: Jack Bourgeois

It’s officially April, and the NFL Draft is rapidly approaching. Teams are attending the final few Pro Days, adjusting their big boards, and taking calls from all teams looking to move up. This year is unlike any other, with 4 quarterbacks rumored to going inside the top 10, possibly even the top 5, so expect a lot of movement. Teams such as the Browns, Jets, Giants, Broncos, Dolphins, Bills, Cardinals and Jaguars SHOULD all be looking to spend their 1st round pick on a top tier QB. BUT if you do the math, there are at least 8 QB needy teams and only 5 signal callers with a 1st round grade. This will escalate into an extreme example of supply and demand, meaning it will cost any team trying to move into the top 5 at least an arm and a leg… maybe even more. The Buffalo Bills are by far the most desperate team in need of a QB, as with only Nathan Peterman (5 Int’s in 1 half of football) and A.J. McCarron currently on the roster, an upgrade is undoubtedly in order. The Bills traded starting left tackle Cordy Glenn and their 21st overall pick with the Bengals to move up 9 spots to the 12th pick, and they still own the 22nd overall pick. Buffalo is one of the few teams with the ammunition to make a move, and in this mock, we’ve got them giving up a king’s ransom to the Giants in exchange for the 2nd overall pick.

Let’s see how it all plays out:


1. BROWNS: Josh Allen, QB

2. BILLS Via GIANTS: Sam Darnold, QB

3. JETS: Josh Rosen, QB

4. BROWNS: Bradley Chubb, EDGE

5. BRONCOS: Baker Mayfield, QB

6. COLTS: Saquon Barkley, RB

7. BUCCANEERS: Minkah Fitzpatrick, DB

8. BEARS: Quenton Nelson, OG

9. 49ERS: Denzel Ward, CB

10. RAIDERS: Roquan Smith, LB

11. DOLPHINS: Vita Vea, DT

12. GIANTS Via BILLS: Derwin James, S

13. REDSKINS: Tremaine Edmunds, LB

14. PACKERS: Marcus Davenport, DE

15. CARDINALS: Connor Williams, LT

16. RAVENS: Rashaan Evans, LB

17. CHARGERS: Mike McGlinchey, LT

18. SEAHAWKS: Josh Jackson, CB

19. DALLAS: Calvin Ridley, WR

20. LIONS: De’Ron Payne, DT

21. BENGALS: James Daniels, C

22. GIANTS Via BILLS: Harold Landry, EDGE

23. RAMS: Isaiah Wynn, OG

24. PANTHERS: Christian Kirk, WR

25. TITANS: Leighton Vander Esch, LB

26. FALCONS: Taven Bryan, DT

27. SAINTS: Will Hernandez, OG

28. STEELERS: Malik Jefferson, LB

29. JAGUARS: Lamar Jackson

30. VIKINGS: Kolton Miller, OT

31. PATRIOTS: Jaire Alexander, CB

32. EAGLES: Arden Key, EDGE

Notable Picks

  1. BROWNS: Josh Allen, QB

Cannon for an arm? Check. Size, athleticism, intelligence? Check. Pro-style offense? Check. Most importantly, a willingness to be the quarterback to turn the Browns around? CHECK!!! Josh Allen checks off every single box but one: accuracy. His collegiate career completion percentage of 55.6% is one of the worst in recent memory for a QB considered to be a 1st round talent. The NFL analytics community has already written him off as a bust, yet scouts are drooling over the prospect’s potential. And how can they not be? His potential is limitless. Any coach who doesn’t see his skill set and think that they can’t correct the footwork that plagued his accuracy has no confidence in their teaching ability. Players such as Deshaun Watson and Dak Prescott were given the same exact criticisms before shocking the NFL world with their exceptional play over the past 2 years. Browns coaches Hue Jackson and Todd Haley are considered QB gurus. Surely Haley would love to get his hands on another prototypical AFC North, Big Ben-type QB. Many are calling him a poor man’s Cam Newton due to the fact he’s the only QB since Newton was drafted to be 6’5” and not move like a Brock Osweiler or Mike Glennon. Allen has also had the best offseason amongst all the QBs. He’s showed off his outstanding arm every chance he’s got, has reportedly wowed every team he’s interviewed with, and had the highest Wonderlic score amongst the top 5 at his position. With Tyrod Taylor set to be the QB for the Browns in 2018, it’s a perfect scenario for the baby-faced Firebaugh, CA native to sit and learn the right way. You don’t draft a franchise quarterback for what they’ll be year one; you draft them for their career.

2. BILLS Via GIANTS: Sam Darnold, QB

A report came out this week claiming that the Browns were down to Darnold and Allen, but hadn’t ruled out Baker Mayfield with the #1 overall pick. This week’s mock has the Bill’s trading the 12th, 22nd, 53rd and a 2018 1st rounder to move up and take the NFL Draft’s #2 pick from the NY Giants. A desperate, yet necessary move for the Bills to make in order to go get their QB of the future. We can easily flip flop the QB’s at 1 and 2, as it is currently a coin toss for who goes number 1. I firmly believe both of these guys will be the 1st two players off the board, and though Darnold also has his fair share of criticism, his talent is undeniable. Teams are concerned with his turnovers and decision making. He often tries to do too much with the ball, which leads to some bonehead plays, similarly to a Jameis Winston. At the same time, his ability to extend the play has him drawing Andrew Luck-like comparisons. He has all of the intangibles required to be a quality, long time starter in the NFL. The Buffalo Bills would be ecstatic if this was to come true April 26th.

3. JETS: Josh Rosen, QB

The New York Jets take the outspoken Josh Rosen with the 3rd overall pick. Joe Namath 2.0? Maybe… but Rosen is certainly the most pro-ready QB in the Draft. He may not be the most mobile or physically gifted quarterback, but his throws are by far the cleanest amongst his draft class. Josh’s reputation has taken somewhat of a hi and his draft stock has fallen since the last time he stepped onto a football field with pads. The fact that his coaching staff was fired at the end of the season has given some of the ex-staff members the freedom to speak their minds about the QB. Rumors of arrogance and attitude now follow him anytime he’s been brought up in conversation. Regardless of his possible detriments, he is without a doubt a top 10–15 talent who shouldn’t make it past 5. He outperformed Sam Darnold when the two faced off last season, and his resume speaks louder than he does. If Rosen does fall, it’ll have more to do with his injury history and his play against pressure. When studying Rosen, it was clear that when he would get rattled by a hit or sack, the turnovers and hurried throws would quickly follow. It all stems from his lack of mobility and being a pure pocket passer. If given a quality offensive line, he should perform well his rookie season.

5. BRONCOS: Baker Mayfield, QB

With the signing of Case Keenum, many think the Denver Broncos won’t go quarterback with the 5th overall pick. I beg to differ. No matter how far Keenum led the Minnesota Vikings in the playoff last year, he’s a bridge to the Denver’s future face of the franchise. Now, Baker Mayfield has by far the best film and stat sheet when compared to his competition. His 131 touchdowns to only 30 interceptions, and 68.5 completion percentage tower everyone else’s statistics. His leadership skills and competitive nature have many people raving, yet he’s still considered the 4th best QB simply because of his height. Outside of Super Bowl winning quarterbacks Russell Wilson and Drew Brees, 6 ft Qb’s just don’t exist in the NFL. John Elway got to witness Baker’s charisma and play in person on multiple occasions this year, so surely he knows what the young man is capable of. If he can translate his game to the pros, Elway could wind up with the steal of the draft at pick #5, similar to the Texans of last year.

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