2019 Big 12 Championship Game Preview



Written by Jeremy Dennis

Blitzalytics Gambling Guide












11-1 (8-1 in conference) 11-1 (8-1 in conference)


Offensive PPG (36.2) Offensive PPG (44.3)

Defensive PPG (18.4) Defensive PPG (24.7)


Offensive YPG - 445 (186 Rush, 259 Pass) Offensive YPG - 564 (260 Rush, 304 Pass)

Offensive YPG - 351 (142 Rush, 249 Pass) Offensive YPG - 336 (140 Rush, 196 Pass)


Schedule


S.F. Austin 56-17 UTSA 63-14 Houston 49-31 S. Dakota 70-14


@Rice 21-13 Iowa St. 23-21 @UCLA 48-14 Tex. Tch 55-16


@Kan. St. 31-12 Tex. Tch 33-30 @Kansas 45-20 Texas 34-27


@OK St. 45-27 W. Va. 17-14 W. Va. 52-14 @ Kan. St. 41-48


@TCU 29-23 Okla 31-34 Iowa St. 42-41 @Baylor 34-31


Texas 24-10 @Kansas 61-6 TCU 28-24 @Okla St. 34-16


Key Players


C. Brewer 65.5% 2935 yds. 20TD-6INT J. Hurts 71.9% 3347 yds. 31TD-6INT


J. Lovett 97 Carries 618 Yards 5 TDs J. Hurts 96 Carries 1217 Yards 18 TDs


D. Mims 61 Catches 945 Yards 11 TDs C. Lamb 50 Catches 1035 Yards 14 TDs


J. Lynch 34 Tack. 15.5 TFL 10.5 Sacks R. Perkins 37 Tack. 13 TFL 6 Sacks


G. Arnold 6 INTs B. Radley-Hiles 2 INTs


Injuries


WR Gavin Holmes - Out S Robert Barnes - Out


LB Clay Johnston - Out DL Jordan Kelley - Out


RB Craig Williams - Out DL Kenneth Mann - Out


DB Tre Norwood - Out


RB Tre Sermon - Out


LB Jon-Michael Terry - Out


Blitzalytics Analysis


Line Oklahoma (-9) Over/Under 65 Against the Spread - Baylor (7-4) Oklahoma (4-7)


In a rematch from last month, the Sooners and Bears meet in Arlington for a possible trip to the College Football Playoff. Oklahoma had to come back from a 31-10 halftime deficit to defeat Baylor 34-31. This match-up contains the tale of two strengths as the Oklahoma offense is one of the best in the country. They are led by Jalen Hurts who is a Heisman Trophy candidate that has accounted for 4600 yards and 49 touchdowns. Baylor has one of the best defenses in the Big 12 and gave the Sooners all they could handle in the previous game.


The Degenerate Menace Says: Interesting spread here given the result of the last contest and the fact that this game will be played at a neutral field. The common conception would be that with a three-point differential at Baylor minus the typical home-field advantage of three, a line of Oklahoma (-6) would have made sense. Regardless of that fact, Oklahoma had a handle on the Baylor offense in the second half of the previous game. Lincoln Riley also does a great job in second game adjustments as they were able to cover against Texas in last year’s championship game after failing to do so in the 2018 Red River Shootout. Look for Oklahoma to cover the 9 but have the total points stay under 60.


Prediction: Oklahoma 38 - Baylor 28