2019 Sun Belt Championship Game Preview



Written by Jeremy Dennis


Blitzalytics Gambling Guide















10-2 (7-1 in conference) 11-1 (7-1 in conference)


Offensive PPG (38.8) Offensive PPG (38.9)

Defensive PPG (17.8) Defensive PPG (18.8)


Offensive YPG - 500 (274 Rush, 226 Pass) Offensive YPG - 437 (226 Rush, 211 Pass)

Defensive YPG - 370 (172 Rush, 198 Pass) Defensive YPG - 321 (134 Rush, 187 Pass)


Schedule

Miss. State 28-38 Liberty 35-14 ETSU 42-7 Charlotte 56-41


Tex. Sou 77-6 @Ohio 45-25 @UNC 34-31 Coa. Car. 56-37


@Ga. Sou 37-24 App. St 7-17 Louisiana 17-7 La. Monroe 52-7


@ Ark. St. 37-20 Texas St. 31-3 @S. Ala. 30-3 Ga. Sou. 21-24


Coastal Car. 48-7 @S. Ala. 37-27 S. Carolina 20-15 Ga. State 56-27


Troy 53-3 La. Monroe 31-30 Texas St. 35-13 Troy 48-13


Key Players


L. Lewis 65.4% 2450 yds. 20TD-3INT Z. Thomas 63.8% 2427 yds. 24TD-6INT


E. Mitchell 169 Carries 1007 Yards 14 TDs D. Evans 217 Carries 1250 Yards 16 TDs


J. Bradley 48 Catches 760 Yards 7 TDs T. Hennigan 54 Catches 673 Yards 4 TDs


J. Dillon 35 Tack. 6.5 TFL 5 Sacks A. Davis-Gaither 85 Tack. 13.5 TFL 4.5 Sacks


Washington 3 INTs S. Jolley 5 INTs


Injuries


WR Jamal Bell - Questionable RB Camerun Peoples - Out


OL Tyler Brown - Out TE Collin Reed - Questionable


DT Zi’Yon Hill - Questionable WR Corey Sutton - Out


OL Robert Hunt - Questionable


TE Johnny Lumpkin - Out


OL Ken Marks - Out


OL Cole Prudhomme - Out


LB Tanner Wiggins - Out


Blitzalytics Analysis


Line App. State (-6.5) Over/Under 55.5 Against the Spread - Louisiana (8-3) App. State (7-4)


Two things are working against the Ragin Cajuns in this match-up. The Mountaineers are the more battle-tested team having beat two Power Five schools this season and they defeated the Louisiana 17-7 in early October. App. State still has a small possibility of representing the Group of Five in the New Year’s Six. It will be interesting to see if the Cajuns learned anything from the previous match-up although they will now be playing in North Carolina giving App. State another advantage..


The Degenerate Menace Says: The simulations do not agree on the outcome of this game. However, judging from the data from the previous time these teams met and head to head comparisons against like conference foes, the best bet will be to take App. State and the over.


Prediction: App. State 40 - Louisiana 28