Written by James Davis and Perry Griffith IV
A word with our Bookies
Team James: Welcome back for another edition of Blitz the Bookie. The bookie is putting up a good fight keeping us right above breaking even. The Bookies will not sustain this luck. We lost last week on a blown review, on our pick of the Browns With only a 1:38 left in the 4th qtr the refs overturned a Browns first down that would have sealed the deal over the Raiders. Then Western Michigan wins by 1pt when we picked them at 1.5, missing an extra point conversion at the very end of the game, com’on man! We got close and the flood is coming! Bookies need to lookout for the Blitz because here we come with week 5 picks.
Team Perry: Sometimes in betting, you need to shake things up to break a slump. I’m shaking things up by using a nonsensical trend instead of stats and scouting logic since that hasn’t worked out so far for me this season. Let’s turn this thing around with this week’s picks.
Dallas Cowboys (+3) at Houston Texans, Sunday 8:20 PM ET
We have here a good old fashion TEXAS SHOWDOWN. Get your popcorn ready because I think we get a good one here Sunday night in prime time. The Texans come into this match up after almost blowing an 18pt lead in the 3rd quarter to a banged up Colts team. That kind of performance is not going to cut it with these Cowboys. The stars truly are brighter at night down in the heart of Texas, as this Cowboys team is 10-2 in their last 12 primetime matchups and I except the trend to continue. Deshaun Watson has been sacked 17 times through 4 weeks and in comes the league leader in sacks, Demarcus Lawrence with 5.5 sacks and the rest of his gang who ranks 3rd in the league in sacks. This Cowboys team is getting slept on because they aren’t explosive offensively but they won’t need to be. The defense will keep this one close and the offense will do just enough. Take the Cowboys +3!
Denver Broncos (Ev) at New York Jets, Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Ohhhhh man can it get any more free than this? Broncos are coming off a gut wrenching loss where Case Keenum missed a wide open Demaryius Thomas for the go-ahead win over the high powered Kansas City Chiefs. The Broncos showed a lot, especially defensively as it took a heroic performance from the young gunslinging Mahomes to deliver a loss. This Jets team has a better defense than what the Chiefs bring to the table but that is about it. Denver ranks #3 in rushing and will be matched up with a Jets defense that is in the middle of the pack at stopping the run. Offensively this Jets doesn’t do anything to warrant them being a pick em vs this Broncos team, ranking 25th in rushing and 27th in passing. Sam Darnold has had flashes of potential but this game he will see flashes of Von Miller and 5th overall pick Bradley Chubb. Denver is 5-1 straight up in the last 6 match ups against the Jets. Since the Bookie wants to give us a straight up option, lets take full advantage of it!
Arizona Cardinals (+4.5) at San Francisco 49ers, Sunday 4:25 PM ET
Things are repeating themselves this season so far. We are getting overtime games every week (nearly ties every week too). We’ve had late afternoon, west coast games every week that have gone down to the wire, and this is the matchup that will follow the same pattern. Some other reasons I like the Cardinals, this is a division game and I see these teams being pretty even without Garoppolo. I’ve loved how Rosen has looked so far, and I see him keeping things tight in this game to stay within 4.5pts. Take the Cards +4.5!
#13 Kentucky Wildcats (+5.5) at Texas A&M Aggies, Saturday 7:00 PM ET
Here I am betting against the Aggies a week after I picked them to cover and they let me down. Well now I think they’re getting a little too much respect here against a top 15 team. The country’s questioning Kentucky because of the school they’re from, predominantly known as a basketball school, but these Wildcats on the gridiron are not intimidated of anyone! They have upsets vs. SEC opponents which include a game in The Swamp vs. the Gators, and then home vs. Mississippi State and South Carolina. Aggies will be wearing their 1998 throwback uniforms from back when they made it to the Sugar Bowl. However, just like in that Bowl game when they faced a higher ranked opponent, I expect the aggies to come up short. Throwback uniforms don’t scare me enough to avoid this pick. Take Wildcats +5.5.
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