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Degenerate Menace (-411) - College Week 6 Bets


Photo by Kevin Jairaj, USA Today Sports

by Jeremy Dennis

@menace524


“The world needs ditch diggers too.” -- Judge Smails, Caddyshack, 1981


Honestly, I have no words. So, in deference to David Letterman, how about the Top 10 Worst Things About College Football in 2020. Here we go!


10. The ability of the UGA fans to socially distance themselves during the Auburn game in Athens. If you haven’t seen pictures, Google it.


9. UCF being the best team in the state of Florida. Yeah, I will give them a solid number three (although they played like a #2 against Tulsa).


8. Anyone who pays Jimbo Fisher. Let’s think about this: His 2013 National Championship FSU team had like 95% of the players get drafted. Since then, he has been a really good 8-4 coach.


7. Speaking of overpaid coaches, Gus Malzahn reminds me of the game of golf. In golf, you can play like complete butt, and yet you hit one good shot in the end and you keep coming back. Gus seems to crap the bed against Auburn’s rivals. Since the national championship year of 2013, Gus is 5-14 against LSU, UGA, and Alabama. He just seems to spread them out just enough to keep the Auburn people hooked.


6. The PAC-12 and the Big 10 leadership. Through the first quarter of the season, there have been very few disruptions to the football season due to COVID. It is a shame these two conferences have been sitting on the sidelines…


5. Florida State: How short is Mike Norvell’s leash after being down 21-7 to Jacksonville State and more broadly, his start to the FSU season?


4. Navy. If you take out the second half against Tulane, the Middies are getting outscored 119-10.


3. The University of Kansas. Why don’t they put all of their resources into playing basketball?


2. The Big 12. Awful football being played right now especially on defense. Prove me wrong.


And finally Number One! Read below. After running all college games at 54.7% last year. I am not doing that. As a matter of fact, if you would have faded me all season betting one unit for each game, you would be up 20.5 units thus far. However, I stand by my Excel Spreadsheet.


Last Week: Top Picks: 2-3 (40.0%) Total Picks: 9-18 (33.3%) Betting: DOWN 30 Units

Year to Date: Top Picks: 8-7 (53.3%) Total Picks: 35-52 (40.2%) Betting: DOWN 47.6 Units


TIER ONE - FIVE UNITS


Louisville (-4) at Georgia Tech


Georgia Tech looks to be progressing quite nicely in their rebuild. However, UCF exposed a lot of flaws that the Yellow Jackets still have. While it is up for debate whether Louisville has as much talent as UCF, they still are very fast. GT has a problem dealing with very fast teams.


Virginia Tech (+5.5) at North Carolina


The Tar Heels have not done any favors for themselves by playing subpar against Syracuse and Boston College. Conversely, Virginia Tech has averaged 42 points against N.C. State and Duke. UNC should be on upset alert in this one.


Georgia (-12) vs Tennessee


It appears that the first half of the Arkansas game was an anomaly for the Bulldogs. In the last six quarters, UGA has outscored their opponents 39-9. Tennessee’s two victories have been against South Carolina and Missouri which are in the bottom quarter in the SEC from a performance stand-point. The Volunteers are not ready for this defense.


Boston College (+6) vs Pittsburgh


It looks like the college football world has gotten a little ahead of themselves when it comes to the Panthers. They were sluggish against Syracuse, barely beat Louisville and lost to North Carolina State. All of this has happened at home. With this being their first away game, I can certainly see BC covering this number and maybe winning outright.


Kansas State (+9) at TCU


I said it last week and I will say it again. Check my record when I take Kansas State. This is too big of a number in the Big 12 right now (unless you are Kansas). I am certainly not saying TCU can’t win, but the Wildcats should cover this one as well.


Notre Dame (-21) vs Florida State


Florida State belongs in the Big 12 right now. There, I said it. The Fighting Irish are coming off a COVID induced bye week. They should be fresh against a team that was getting run ragged by Jacksonville State in the first half on Saturday. Should be a romp in South Bend.


TIER TWO - THREE UNITS


Florida (-6.5) at Texas A&M


If Mac Jones throws for 435 yards and four touchdowns against A&M, what is going to stop Kyle Trask (684 yards and 10 touchdowns YTD) from doing something similar? Florida is simply better on both sides of the ball and should win easily in College Station.


Texas (+2) vs Oklahoma


While I am not thrilled with either teams’ performance this season, the simple fact of the matter is that with all things being equal, the better quarterback play belongs to Texas. Oklahoma has given up an average of 300 yards per contest against stout passing offenses like K-State and Iowa State.


Virginia (-9.5) vs North Carolina State


The computer does not really think much of the NC State results thus far this year. A squeaker against Wake, an 11 point loss at Va Tech and an upset win over an overrated Pitt squad. Any loss to Clemson that is less than 20 points has been deemed impressive by this bag of microchips. So, take the Cavs and the points.


Florida International (-4) vs Middle Tennessee State


While FIU’s lone game was a 2 point loss to Liberty, Middle Tennessee has been miserable this season at 0-4. They did play Western Kentucky tough, but apparently, WKU is not that good either.


Florida Atlantic (-2.5) at Southern Mississippi


We only have a one-game sample for the Owls, a 21-17 victory over Charlotte. Southern Miss has only one victory out of four games and that was against lowly North Texas. Florida Atlantic by a field goal.


South Florida (-4.5) vs East Carolina


It is difficult to surmise where the Bulls lie in the college football spectrum as they have played two top-15 teams and were outscored 80-7. East Carolina lost to Sun Belt mid-dweller Georgia State by 20. The score actually would have been worse if it had been for three non-offensive touchdowns. Take South Florida at home.


Mississippi State (+2) at Kentucky


What the hell is up with Miss. State? They look like world-beaters on offense against defending champ LSU, then crap the bed against Arkansas. Kentucky just gave up 320 yards and four touchdowns in the air to Ole Miss. The computer is not really sold on the Wildcats.


TIER THREE - TWO UNITS


Louisiana (-7) vs Coastal Carolina

South Carolina (-12.5) at Vanderbilt

Duke (-2.5) at Syracuse

Arkansas (+14) at Auburn

BYU (-34.5) vs UTSA

Louisiana Tech (-14.5) vs UTEP

Charlotte (-3) at North Texas


TIER FOUR - ONE UNIT


Louisiana Monroe (+19) at Liberty

Troy (-7) vs Texas State

Iowa State (-12.5) vs Texas Tech

Ole MIss (+23.5) vs Alabama

Temple (-3) at Navy

Miami-FL (+14) at Clemson

Missouri (+20.5) vs LSU


Well, there is nowhere to go but up! Everyone stay safe out there with the storm and the COVID! Enjoy!



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