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Degenerate Menace (-411) - NFL Week 1


Photo by Scott Galvin, USA Today Sports

by Jeremy Dennis

@menace524


It was the best of times and it was the worst of times in 2019. The total wins for the Top Picks each week finished at a robust 60% -- GOOD! The winning percentage for the total picks for the year ended at 51+% -- BAD! Playoff percentage? Just plain ugly. However, here at Chez Dennis, we are always refining our Excel spreadsheets, buying our beer, and rubbing the lucky rabbit’s foot to bring you better picks for 2020.


As usual, the computer is just taking a stab in the dark as there is no real data (especially with no preseason) for the first week. In subsequent weeks, we will be following the Tier Format that was employed in the college picks. For now, I will give you our Top Picks plus the rest of the games for good keeping.


TOP FIVE PICKS


Baltimore (-8) vs Cleveland


  1. I will not make any OBJ crap jokes.

  2. I hear that their wide receiver under center in Baltimore might be pretty good.

  3. It’s Cleveland.

  4. My guess is that the Ravens are a little salty after last year’s playoff exit.


Seattle (+2.5) at Atlanta


Since the Super Bowl Collapse of 2016, here have been the results of the Week One games for the Falcons: 2017 23-17 win over an undermanned Bears team which included Chicago dropping two TD passes at the end of the game to win. 2018 18-12 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. 2019 28-12 loss to Minnesota. Sure, all of those games were on the road and two were against playoff teams. However, I do not like Dan Quinn’s preparation in the first half of seasons lately. Seattle is the better team.


Philadelphia (-5.5) at Washington


As a born and bred Washington (Whatever the Hell Their Mascot is) fan, my only hope is that the NFL forces Dan Snyder to sell. This is now the worst run professional football organization in America. I wouldn’t be surprised if Philly wins by two scores or more.


Arizona (+7) at San Francisco


San Francisco has been decimated at the wide receiver position and I do believe that Arizona will be an improved team from the one that won five games in 2019. San Francisco could be in for a Super Bowl hangover after blowing a lead to the Chiefs. Frankly, I also think that the number is just too big. The result should be a field goal margin either way.


Carolina (+3) vs Las Vegas


Look, I get it. Carolina is supposed to be rebuilding. However, they do have Christian McCaffrey, right? Last I checked, Teddy Bridgewater is not a bad option at quarterback, either. Took Minnesota to the playoffs. Played well in relief of Drew Brees last year. On the other side of the ball, we have the Las Vegas Raiders. Is this not the same team that has won 17 games in the last three years? I will believe that there is an improvement with this squad when I see it.


THE REST OF THE GAMES


Green Bay (+2.5) at Minnesota

New England (-6.5) vs Miami

Detroit (-3) vs Chicago

Jacksonville (+8) vs Indianapolis (because I am crazy)

N.Y. Jets (+6.5) at Buffalo

L.A. Chargers (-3) at Cincinnati

New Orleans (-3.5) vs Tampa Bay (not buying the Buc hype yet)

Dallas (-3) at L.A. Rams

N.Y. Giants (+6) vs Pittsburgh

Tennessee (-2.5) at Denver



For those who want to get a leg up on fantasy football, check out the Blitzalytics Prospect Guide. It has info on all 32 NFL teams. Here is the link so you can check it out:



LET THE GAMES BEGIN!!!!



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