top of page

Degenerate Menace (-411) - NFL Week 14 Bets


Philip G. Pavely-USA TODAY Sports

by Jeremy Dennis

@menace524


In this day and age, Twitter trends move fast. I remember just three months ago, everyone was doing the “How it Started - How it is Going” thing where they posted pictures of various beginnings and then current status. Since I am behind the times and old, I thought it would be a great idea to do that for the current NFL Landscape.


NFC East: How it started - the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles will be far and away the better teams of a bad division.


How it’s going - New York and Washington vying for first place with 5 wins apiece. Cowboys and Eagles combined record: 6-17-1


NFC South: How it started - With Tom Brady and that defense, Tampa Bay will surely win the division!


How it’s going - With Taysom Hill and that defense, New Orleans will surely win the division!


NFC North: How it started - Green Bay is getting older and Detroit will certainly be up and coming.


How it’s going - Green Bay is three games clear of everyone in the division. Detroit let their coach go quicker than a Frozen song.


NFC West: How it started - Toughest division in football! Seattle and Arizona should come out on top with their QBs vying for the MVP award.


How it’s going - the Niners are a walking MASH unit, the Cardinals have lost three in a row and Russ is certainly not cooking. In other news, the division leader is the Rams.


AFC East: How it started - The Patriots with Cam will beat back Buffalo to win. Miami and New York will vie for last place.


How it’s going - Buffalo appears to be the cream of the division with…..Miami…..in second place.


AFC South: How it started - Tennessee will probably win the division. Indy will be close. Houston will be in the mix despite Bill O’Brien’s attempts to prevent it. Jacksonville will suck.


How it’s going - Tennessee and Indy are deadlocked atop the division. Houston is not in the mix and Bill O’Brien is on the back of a milk carton. Jacksonville still sucks.


AFC North: How it started - Baltimore, Baltimore, Baltimore. Cleveland could make the playoffs. Pittsburgh - meh. That Burrow kid could make things interesting in Cincy.


How it’s going - If it wasn’t for the NFC East, Baltimore would be subpar. Cleveland is probably one win away from the playoffs. That Burrow kid did make things interesting until his offensive line got him killed. Oh, and that Pittsburgh team finally lost its first game last week.


AFC West: How it started - It is Patrick Mahomes world, we are just paying rent.


How it’s going - Looks like rent may be coming due in February


And finally, how about the Degenerate Menace:


How it started (through 8 weeks)


YTD

Record 58-58-1 (50.0%)

Top Picks 13-14-1 (48.1%)

Betting Result DOWN 71.6 Units


How it’s going


Record 101-86-3 (54.0%)

Top Picks 22-20-1 (52.4%)

Betting Result DOWN 12.7 Units


I am sure I just cursed it, but whatever.


TOP PICKS (10 Units)


Green Bay (-7.5) at Detroit


It looks like Detroit warmed up against the Bears. They will have to outscore the Packers who are owning the NFC North to the tune of a 3-1 record and a +40 points differential. Don’t see one of the worst NFL defenses putting the kibosh on Rodgers-Jones-Adams.


New Orleans (-7) at Philadelphia


The City of Brotherly Love is now the City of Fiery Dumpsters as Carson Wentz and the team has been lost. In comes a defense that is just licking its chops after only allowing 16 to a Falcons team with more weapons. Good luck, Jalen Hurts.


Washington (+3.5) at San Francisco


After the first quarter of the season, if you would have told me that the Football Team would cover four consecutive games, I would have picked my nose in your general direction. Well, here we are. The Alex Smith Comeback Player of the Year Tour continues!


Pittsburgh (+2.5) at Buffalo


Call me crazy, but I thought Pittsburgh just got tired in the second half of its third game in 12 days. They were up 14-0 but then got outscored 23-3 by WFT. I think now with some decent rest, the defense will be back up to par and will surprise the Bills.


THE LAND OF THE MISFIT TOYS (5 Units)


L.A. Rams (-5) vs New England


New England has been better on both sides of the ball lately including a 45-0 thrashing of the other L.A. team. I just get the feeling that the L.A. new Fearsome Foursome is going to get after Cam and should beat the Pats pretty good.


Arizona (-2.5) at N.Y. Giants


Both teams are due here: The Cards to win and the Giants to lose. It seems ripe for the Giants team to underperform after a huge upset in Seattle.


Jacksonville (+9) vs Tennessee


Jacksonville is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games. Four of those five games were against teams at .500 or better. Over 52.5 could be an interesting bet as well.


Cincinnati (+3.5) vs Dallas


Is there any reason that Cincy can win outright here? Remember, we are talking about the NFC Hot Garbage Division


Houston (pick) at Chicago


Matthew Stafford carved up the Bears to the tune of 400 yards. Now they face a QB that can throw for 300 and run for 75 and a score. The coaching staff for the Bears are dead men walking.


Denver (+4) at Carolina


“The human does NOT like this pick.” This is what I said when the computer took Cleveland to cover against Tennessee. Well, we see how that went down. For the record, I don’t like this pick either.


N.Y. Jets (+13.5) at Seattle


Let it be known that I called the result of the Jets game last week. I said there was a possibility of a Jets win and there was until Greg Williams decided that the defensive backfield wasn’t important. If this number was 9, I think it would be Seattle. Two touchdowns is too much.


Indianapolis (-2.5) at Las Vegas


The Raiders pulled a win out of their proverbial ass last week. It has been a struggle between that and the drubbing at Atlanta. The defense wins the day for the Colts.


L.A. Chargers (+2.5) vs Atlanta


Nothing soothes a rattled rookie quarterback like a really crappy defense.


Baltimore (+1) at Cleveland


Baltimore has beaten the crap out of Cleveland in two of their last three meetings. I think Cleveland has a large ego that will be looking to get deflated with a visit from the Ravens.


Minnesota (+6.5) at Tampa Bay


The Vikings are now 6-6. Tampa is leaking a fair amount of oil. May not be a win, but it will be a cover. 31-30 maybe?


Miami (+7.5) vs Kansas City


For what it is worth, the Dolphins are 5-1 as an underdog this year ATS. KC was not pretty in their victory against Denver on Sunday.


Good luck with your betting weekend as I hope the computer continues the hot streak.


Enjoy!



0 comments
bottom of page