by Jeremy Dennis
Week 2 in the NFL has been sponsored by paramedics and ambulance drivers everywhere. What a dismal week for many of the top players who went down with tough injuries. I currently have a strained MCL (Making Cash Ligament) as I leaked a lot of oil on my top picks. It would’ve been an 11-5 week if Cam could get three feet, Leonard Fournette would’ve just fallen down after getting a first down and the Chicago and Buffalo fourth quarter defenses wouldn’t have sucked. However, that is how the betting cookie crumbles.
Last week: Record 7-9 (43.8%) Top Picks - 1-3 (25%) Betting Result: DWN 29.4 Units
YTD: Record 15-16-1 (48.4%) Top Picks 4-5 (44%) Betting Result: DWN 29.4 Units
TOP PICKS (10 Units)
Jacksonville (-2.5) vs Miami
Look at all of the folks sleeping on Jacksonville. Two spreads where the Jags were more than a touchdown underdog results in 2-0 ATS. In comes a Miami team that put up a pretty good fight at home against Buffalo. They drove the field towards the end of the fourth quarter to cover against the Bills. I am liking what Gardner Minshew is throwing around so let’s take the Stache and the points.
Seattle (-4.5) vs Dallas
Did I read somewhere that Russell Wilson has never gotten a first-place vote for MVP? Have I also read where he is completing like 1,214% of his passes in 2020? Ok, I am embellishing a bit. More like 80%. Still, that does not bode well for a Dallas defense that gave up 39 points to the Falcons at home and an offense that seems to have a problem losing fumbles. The Boys are already 0-1 on the West Coast, so let’s take the Hawks.
Arizona (-6) vs Detroit
Ok, I think we can officially say that the Arizona Cardinals are good. They owned Washington on Sunday in a breezy 30-15 victory. The Detroit Lions, who all the pundits were saying could be a dark horse for the NFC North crown have stumbled out of the gate to the Bears and Packers. If the Packers offense can score five touchdowns on the Lions, Kyler Murray and company can at least score four.
Green Bay (+3) at New Orleans
So what Las Vegas is telling me is that without the home-field advantage, the New Orleans Saints are equal to the Green Bay Packers?!? The Saints are coming off a short week, a loss nonetheless and Drew Brees seems fine just throwing the ball a max of seven yards. I don’t know if Green Bay will keep up their scoring average, but they should definitely cover.
TIER TWO (7 Units)
San Francisco (-3.5) at New York Giants
Sure, the Niners can barely field a team right now. However, any team from the NFC East is hot garbage right now.
Cincinnati (+6.5) at Philadelphia
Didn’t you read what I just said about the NFC East being hot garbage? Is it possible for a 6-10 team to win the division? Joe Burrow is the real deal in Cincy and the Bengals are 2-0 ATS.
L.A. Rams (+2.5) at Buffalo
The Rams seemingly have found their groove. Sure the 2-0 record is against teams in the NFC Hot Garbage Division. However, Buffalo will have its hands full with the Rams front four. Buffalo’s defense has not been as stellar as we would like to see in giving up 28 to the Dolphins last week.
Indianapolis (-10.5) vs New York Jets
What is going on in the Big Apple? The Jets have been miserable against the Bills and the Niners. After a slow start against Jacksonville, the Colts got it together against Minnesota and have a pretty stout defense. If Phillip Rivers can refrain from giving the ball to the other team, this should be a beating.
MEH BETS (4 Units)
Pittsburgh (-3.5) vs Houston
Chicago (+3.5) at Atlanta
Tennessee (-2.5) at Minnesota
Las Vegas (+6.5) at New England
BETS I HATE THE COMPUTER FOR (1 Unit)
Washington (+7) at Cleveland
Carolina (+6.5) at L.A. Chargers
Denver (+6) vs Tampa Bay
Baltimore (-3.5) vs Kansas City
Enjoy all of the week’s football action and good luck.