By Jeremy Dennis
This week’s edition should be a lesson to you folks. WATCH WHAT YOU ARE DOING!!! At the Chateau, I inadvertently fat-fingered one juice-box wager which basically made the bet 10-fold. Naturally, I didn’t check over my work and when the wager lost, I was actually negative juice boxes even though I had a decent week picking games (I don’t gamble money, because gambling is illegal…). Now I am butthurt like Bo Nix and Baker Mayfield. Let’s look at the tally through six weeks:
College YTD Top Picks: 33-24-3 (57.9%) YTD All College Picks 154-122-2 (55.8%)
NFL YTD Top Picks: 13-7 (65.0%) YTD All NFL Picks 41-36-1 (53.2%)
Total YTD All Picks: 196-157-6 (55.5%)
Now for the Degenerate Menace Baker’s Dozen Plus One!
Wisconsin (-10.5) vs Michigan State: It is tough enough that the Spartans had to get their rears handed to them by Ohio State last week at home. Now, they must travel to Madison and face the #8 Badgers. I have a hard time believing that Sparty is going to hold up against that Wisconsin defense. Oh, and Wisconsin is 4-1 against the spread.
Vanderbilt (-14.5) vs UNLV: The two teams are the worst in their respective conferences. However, one is the SEC and one is the Mountain West. I have to think that if Vandy was in the Mountain West, they might get to play in a championship game every once in a while, right?
Duke (-17.5) at Georgia Tech: This is akin to picking against the Miami Dolphins every week in the NFL. Georgia Tech is a REALLY bad football team. In four FBS games, the Yellow Jackets have scored a grand total of 52 points and almost half of that was against North Carolina last week. Are they getting better? Maybe. But, not against Duke.
Michigan (-23) at Illinois: I know, I know. I said that I wouldn’t pick Michigan anymore. However, Michigan didn’t allow Iowa to score a touchdown last week. After beating Akron, the Illini are 1-3 against the spread and lost by 23 against Minnesota last week. Oh, look! That is the number we are looking at this week!
Kent State (-14.5) at Akron: Per the last entry, one of the only covers Illinois has had this year is against Akron. They beat the Zips by 39. So, you are telling me that Kent State couldn’t beat them by half that much. Another note: Kent State beat Bowling Green by 42, so it is entirely possible. I like the chances.
Georgia (-25) vs South Carolina: The Bulldogs are 3-1 against the spread with the only loss being to Notre Dame. South Carolina is 2-2 against the line but frankly, should be 1-3 because of a B.S. touchdown against Alabama at the end of the game. Nope, I am still not bitter at that outcome at all.
Mississippi State (-7) at Tennessee: Battling the Vanderbilt Commodores for the worst team in the SEC East is the Tennessee Volunteers. They are probably one or two losses away from completely quitting on the coaching staff. Unfortunately, it is too late for the entire team to redshirt. Mississippi State is coming off a bye week. They should be plenty healthy against the Big Orange.
Notre Dame (-10.5) vs USC: USC lost by 14 at #17 Washington. Granted, USC incurred several injuries (one of which was the quarterback), but they will be facing a much stiffer defense in the Fighting Irish. The Trojans could be in for a blood-letting this week.
Arizona State (-1.5) vs Washington State: Arizona State is a hard team to figure out. They have allowed 38 total points to teams not named Colorado. Yet they allowed 34 in a loss to the Buffs. Washington State had a nasty loss last week for which Mike Leach called his squad fat and dumb (among other things). I don’t think I need a Psychology book to know that is bad for morale.
Missouri (-12) vs Ole Miss: Outside of the loss at Wyoming, Missouri has been playing some pretty good football. Throw in the fact that Wyoming is 4-1 on the season and you wonder if Missouri deserves more respect. Ole Miss has actually scored 153 points in six games. Not bad. Their defense has allowed 154 though. Bad.
Baltimore (-11.5) vs Cincinnati: What in the heck is happening in Cincinnati? 0-5 coming off a loss at home to Arizona. I don’t see traveling to division rival Baltimore has the sauve to turn the season around.
San Francisco (+3) at Los Angeles Rams: The 49ers are rolling after blowing the doors off of Cleveland on Monday night. Do we think there could be a hangover? Maybe, but San Fran should still cover this one. Might be a shoot-out in Cali.
Minnesota (-3) vs Philadelphia: For the most part, Minnesota plays pretty well at home. The Eagles have had good games in back-to-back weeks. Although, the defense carried the day against a woeful Jets team. I think the Vikings can win by 7.
Green Bay (-4) vs Detroit: The Packers offense has steadily gotten better under the new coaching regime. The game last week was a big win for them in the conference. Detroit is coming off a bye after holding their own against Kansas City at home. If the Green Bay defense can keep Stafford and Co. in check, this game should be covered with ease.
Thankfully, the college and pro slate of games is littered with fascinating match-ups (none of which are named Dolphins-Redskins). Make sure you go to www.blitzalytics.com to check out the previews of those games as well as the panel’s picks. Now go win some money!