Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team Half-PPR, Slot #4

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team Half-PPR, Slot #4

Written By Jason Feiner


This week’s Mock draft sets its sights on the fourth overall selection, and if you are new to this weekly series, I’ll give you a quick run down. Each week, the Blitz team will give you full-length mock drafts of different league types for you to follow along. Even better, we are breaking it down pick by pick. Together, we have decided to do some of the work for you and offer our opinions on this year’s fantasy draft in standard, .5 PPR and 2QB mocks. Each draft is done using the Fantasy Pros’ Mock Draft Simulator, and the roster settings for today’s mock are as follows: 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1 Flex (RB, WR, TE), 1TE, D/ST (team defense) and K within a .5 PPR, 12 team format. Make sure to check out last week;s mocks, as the different draft positions could benefit each strategy.

With training camp on the horizon, the fantasy season is roaring through green lights at 100 MPH. Fantasy has morphed into a year-round entity, and if you’re the type of person to wait until the last minute to develop your rankings, well…. You’re a little late to the party. But don’t stress out, the Blitz team has laid out each of our positional rankings for you in order to help you develop your draft day strategy. Mock drafts allow players to view multiple combinations of rosters, while also gaining insight into the thoughts of players across the country. Which combinations will create the best possible chance to win a trophy by week 16’s end? Mock drafts are the best time to play risky, developing a go-to for draft day.


Final Roster:

QB: Andrew Luck (IND)

RB: Shady McCoy (BUF)

RB: Jordan Howard (CHI)

WR: Antonio Brown (PIT)

WR: Jarvis Landry (CLE)

WR: Dez Bryant (FA)

FLEX: Mark Ingram (NO)

TE: Jordan Reed (WAS)

DST: Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)

K: Stephen Gostkowski (NE)

BENCH:

BN: Ronald Jones (TB)

BN: Marquise Lee (JAX)

BN: Ty Montgomery (GB)

BN: Cameron Brate (TB)

BN: Christian Kirk (ARI)

BN: Derek Carr (OAK)


Overview: I’m actually not a huge fan of picking out of the fourth spot in fantasy drafts, as I miss out on the three best players available and still have to wait for my second selection to roll around in the later portion of round two. However, in a three-receiver format, I am especially pleased with the way my draft turned out. Drafting AB gave me the luxury to wait on developing my receiver depth, and allowed me to build my RB collection early. Once Ingram returns form his suspension in week 5, I believe that I have four capable running backs that I could lean on to start in any given week. I own three of the top 10 running backs from 2017, and the upside held by rookie, Ronald Jones is real. Although my receiver depth isn’t as strong, having the number one ranked receiver in fantasy certainly helped develop my strategy for this mock. I own two top 15 WR’s with a high upside player in Dez Bryant to fill in my third slot. With Marquise Lee and the upside Christian Kirk presents, I don’t feel like my receiver depth was left out to dry.

I have two high profile players with known injury histories, and although this could give me a chance at a title, it is likely one of them doesn’t finish the season healthy. There is inherent risk in drafting Reed as my first TE with a low-end backup to take his spot in Cameron Brate, but vased on his past, I felt comfortable in drafting them both to fill out my roster. If Reed goes down, streaming TEs in today’s NFL isn’t too complicated, either. Andrew Luck could be my golden ticket. No other player possesses the same kind of upside with extreme risk involved, but that is where my backup comes into play. Derek Carr can replace Luck if need be, and although I hope Luck stays healthy in 2018, Carr possess the talent to succeed in the NFL and in fantasy circles.

Overall, This team has boom or bust potential, with a lack of receiver known entities heading into the year, but this draft was a success. I would be pleased if my roster ended up like this come game time.


Round 1:

1) Le’Veon Bell, RB — PIT

2) Todd Gurley, RB — LAR

3) Ezekiel Elliott, RB — DAL

4) Antonio Brown, WR — PIT

5) David Johnson, RB — ARI

6) Alvin Kamara, RB — NO

7) Deandre Hopkins, WR — HOU

8) Saquon Barkley, RB — NYG

9) Odell Beckham JR, WR — NYG

10) Michael Thomas, WR — NO

11) Kareem Hunt, RB — KC

12) Julio Jones, WR — ATL


Analysis: In fantasy drafts, I usually like to kick things off with a running back, but at pick number 4 it’s hard to be picky. Antonio Brown is the best receiver in the league and the safest fantasy player in any draft. You always know what you will be getting from AB throughout each season. His consistency is unparalleled, acquiring 100 receptions in each of the past five years. Dating back to his emergence in 2013, Brown has finished as a top four receiver, twice placing at the top of the list. In each of those campaigns, Brown has yet to score under 12.43 points per game, and in 14 games this past season; he recorded 209.30 points, a total of 14.95 points per contest in standard scoring leagues. Considering this is a .5 ppr league using three starting receivers, he is an elite option at the top of the first round. AB is one of the best available players in each format of fantasy drafts. When playing in PPR formats, Brown’s 100 reception streak is just an added bonus.


Round 2:

13) Keenan Allen, WR — LAC

14) Melvin Gordon, RB — LAC

15) Doug Baldwin, WR — SEA

16) Leonard Fournette, RB — JAX

17) Dalvin Cook, RB — MIN

18) A.J. Green, WR — CIN

19) Davante Adams, WR — GB

20) Christian McCaffrey, RB — CAR

21) Lesean McCoy, RB — BUF

22) Mike Evans, WR — TB

23) Jerick Mckinnon, RB — SF

24) Devonta Freeman, RB — ATL


Analysis: After drafting AB in the first round, it is imperative that I draft the best running backs available with my next two picks, or I could risk having little depth around my RB carousel. Since his rookie year, Shady McCoy has been one of the most consistent running backs in the league. Over the past two years in Buffalo, Shady has averaged 315 touches per year, 1,601 yards with 11 total touchdowns. Recording 248.3 points throughout 2016, and 204.6 points in 2017, he has been the focal point of the Bills offense since 2015, and I expect his role to increase in 2018. Shady is my RB9 heading into the season, and with my second pick, I was ecstatic to see he was still available. That is to say, there are still risks with picking Shady in this spot. His production dipped this past season, and with a depleted offense, scoring may become an issue for the talented player. Still, he is an elite weapon with a moderate floor and high ceiling.


Round 3:

25) Rob Gronkowski, TE — NE

26) Adam Thielen, WR — MIN

27) Tyreek Hill, WR — KC

28) Jordan Howard, RB — CHI

29) T.Y. Hilton, WR — IND

30) Stefon Diggs, WR — MIN

31) Travis Kelce, TE — KC

32) Josh Gordon, WR — CLE

33) Aaron Rodgers, QB — GB

34) Zach Ertz, TE — PHI

35) Alshon Jeffery, WR — PHI

36) Larry Fitzgerald, WR — ARI


Analysis: Jordan Howard took the field by storm in his rookie year ranking second in rushing yards behind Zeke Elliot. Yet to score less than an average of 11.04 points per game throughout his first two seasons, he has remained a top 10 player at his position. The Bears added quality talent to their receiving corps, and if Trubisky can make strides during his sophomore campaign, Howard could have his most productive season, yet. As my 12th ranked running back heading into the 2018 season, Jordan Howard is a high-end RB 2 with RB1 upside. Don’t shy away from the productive back, as his upside outweighs the risk tarik Cohen Presents.


Round 4:

37) Alex Collins, RB — BAL

38) Kenyan Drake, RB — MIA

39) Amari Cooper, WR — OAK

40) Juju Smith-Schuster, WR — PIT

41) Allen Robinson, WR — JAX

42) Demaryius Thomas, WR — DEN

43) Joe Mixon, RB — CIN

44) Brandin Cooks, WR — LAR

45) Jarvis Landry, WR — CLE

46) Golden Tate, WR — DET

47) Jimmy Graham, TE — GB

48) Greg Olsen, TE — CAR


Analysis: Cleveland owns upper class talent heading into the 2018 season, and Jarvis Landry’s upside has never been higher. In four seasons with underwhelming quarterback play, Jarvis Landry has captured 110 receptions twice, and now with Tyrod Taylor, the electric slot receiver should have plenty of opportunities to succeed. With the talent Cleveland possesses in their passing attack, Jarvis Landry should garner plenty of 1 on 1 competition. He is an elite option at receiver and could prove to be a low-end WR1 by season’s end. As my second receiver, he is well worth a spot on my roster as a fourth round pick. He remains my 12th ranked receiver as his potential is nothing to gawk at.


Round 5:

49) Marvin Jones, WR — DET

50) Michael Crabtree, WR — BAL

51) Derrick Henry, RB — TEN

52) Mark Ingram, RB — NO

53) Evan Engram, TE — NYG

54) Rashaad Penny, RB — SEA

55) Dion Lewis, RB — TEN

56) Chris Hogan, WR — NE

57) Devin Funchess, WR — CAR

58) Russell Wilson, QB — SEA

59) Deshaun Watson, QB — HOU

60) Derrius Guice, RB — WAS


Analysis: Although Mark Ingram will miss the first four games of the 2018 season for violating the leagues performance enhancing drug policy, he was a steal in round 5. Last season, the Saints proved that Ingram and Kamara could coexist in their backfield. Mark Ingram was the hammer in the Saints’ backfield accruing 1,540 total yards and 12 touchdowns, as he ranked 6th at his position in standard scoring leagues. I already possess two starting caliber RB’s within my depth chart, and once Ingram comes back from suspension, I could possess the best three headed monster at RB in the league. With the number one rated receiver in fantasy and a high upside WR2 playing beside him, I had the luxury of selecting Ingram with this pick, and It will certainly pay off.


Round 6:

61) Sony Michel

62) Robert Woods

63) Jay Ajayi, RB — PHI

64) Julian Edelman, WR — NE

65) Will Fuller, WR — HOU

66) Cam Newton, QB — CAR

67) Tom Brady, QB — NE

68) Sammy Watkins, WR — KC

79) Ronald Jones, RB — TB

70) Lamar Miller, RB — HOU

71) Carson Wentz, QB — PHI

72) Emmanuel Sanders, WR — DEN


Analysis: My go and get player in 2018, Ronald Jones was drafted into an offense, exploding with talent. It will be hard for defenses to stack the box against Tampa, and ROJO figures to capture the starting job with the possibility of becoming their three down workhorse. I usually don’t put much faith in rookie runners, but Ronald Jones’ ceiling outweighs his risks. With Winston missing the first three games due to suspension, the risk becomes even higher, but with three dependable RBs on my roster, this selection was well worth the asking price.


Round 7:

73) Corey Davis, WR — TEN

74) Randall Cobb, WR — GB

75) Drew Brees, QB — NO

76) Dez Bryant, WR — FA

77) Jordy Nelson, WR — OAK

78) Devante Parker, WR — MIA

79) Tevin Coleman, RB — ATL

80) Kyle Rudolph, TE — MIN

81) Cooper Kupp, WR — LAR

82) Jamison Crowder, WR — WAS

83) Pierre Garcon, WR — SF

84) Ben Roethlisberger, QB — PIT


Analysis: Although this selection warrants risk, I still believe Dez has reserves left in the tank. Yes, he still remains unsigned, but he has previously said, “the last problem I have is finding a team.” He will be signed prior to the start of training camp. The team and quarterback he ends up playing for will play a big part in his production, but in the right situation, he could produce WR2 numbers with WR1 upside. With AB and Landry already on my roster, I am happy to endure this risk. If it doesn’t work out, I have the ammo to trade if need be. Dez has the potential to be a steal in the 7th round.


Round 8:

85) D.J. Moore, WR — CAR

86) Nelson Agholor, WR — PHI

87) Robby Anderson, WR — NYJ

88) Marquise Goodwin, WR — SF

89) Kirk Cousins, QB — MIN

90) Delanie Walker, TE — TEN

91) Royce Freeman, RB — DEN

92) Jimmy Garoppolo, QB — SF

93) Jordan Reed, TE, WAS

94) Chris Thompson, RB — WAS

95) Jack Doyle, TE — IND

96) Matthew Stafford, QB — DET


Analysis: This selection may be my worst pick of the draft; however, it certainly presents the highest upside on my roster. This selection should clarify why drafting a TE earlier could benefit your team. Reed may have the highest upside of any player in fantasy, but also the lowest floor. He has never played a full 16 game season in his career, but when healthy, he is a game-changer. If I can get 12 games out of Reed, this pick will be worth the stress… Just make sure to get a backup in the likely chance Reed lands on IR.


Round 9:

97) Kenny Stills, WR — MIA

98) Rex Burkhead, RB — NE

99) Sterling Shepherd, WR — NYG

100) Marquise Lee, WR — JAX

101) Carlos Hyde, RB — CLE

102) Michael Gallup, WR — DAL

103) D’onta Foreman, RB — HOU

104) Marlon Mack, RB — IND

105) Kelvin Benjamin, WR — BUF

106) C.J. Anderson, RB — CAR

107) Cole Beasley, WR — DAL

108) Duke Johnson, RB — CLE


Analysis: A lot of people don’t realize that Marquise Lee has recorded 201 targets over the last two years, while missing three games in 2017. That ranks 27th among all receivers over that time frame. Now with Allen Robinson out of the picture, and the former first round pick looking to assume the number one role in Jacksonville, Lee has a chance to exceed 110 targets leaving an opportunity for a big year on the table. Keep in mind this is a .5 PPR league, and with an excess of targets, more receptions could be on the horizon. In round 9, Lee makes a great depth player as my fourth receiver on the roster.


Round 10:

109) Trey Burton, TE — CHI

110) Marshawn Lynch, RB — OAK

111) Jamaal Williams, RB — GB

112) Allen Hurns, WR — DAL

113) Kerryon Johnson, RB — DET

114) Nick Chubb, RB — CLE

115) Rishard Mathews, WR — TEN

116) Tarik Cohen, RB — CHI

117) Andrew Luck, QB — IND

118) Desean Jackson, WR — TB

119) Ted Ginn, WR — NO

120) Isaiah Crowell, RB — NYJ


Analysis: In one Quarterback leagues, I like to wait until round 10 at the earliest to snag my QB1. Luck may be one of the unknown entities of the 2018 season, but he began throwing earlier this month, and is on track to start in week 1. If he can stay healthy throughout the year, I may have taken the steal of the draft, and a replication of his 2014 production could be on the horizon. However, make sure to take a safety net at the end of the draft in case this gamble doesn’t pay off. As my 8th ranked quarterback, his upside was too hard to pass up.


Round 11:

121) Josh Doctson, WR — WAS

122) Tyler Lockett, WR — SEA

123) Anthony Miller, WR — CHI

124) Jacksonville Jaguars, DST — JAX

125) Martavis Bryant, WR — OAK

126) Cameron Meredith, WR — NO

127) Minnesota Vikings, DST — MIN

128) Los Angeles Rams, DST — LAR

129) Aaron Jones, RB — GB

130) Bilal Powell, RB — NYJ

131) Danny Amendola, WR — MIA

132) George Kittle, TE — SF


Analysis: I chose to reach for Jacksonville’s defensive system that remained fully intact, while adding more talent around their foundation. Keep in mind that the Jaguars DST scored an impressive 12.7 points per game throughout the 2017 season. Their defense is a feared commodity around the league, and there fantasy production should not see much of a decline if any.


Round 12:

133) James White, RB — NE

134) Paul Richardson, WR — WAS

135) Kenny Golladay, WR — DET

136) Calvin Ridley, WR — ATL

137) Mike Williams, WR — LAC

138) Terrance Williams, WR — DAL

139) Theo Riddick, RB — DET

140) Jared Goff, QB — LAR

141) Ty Montgomery, RB — GB

142) Devontae Booker, RB — DEN

143) Giovanni Bernard, RB — CIN

144) Latavius Murray, RB — MIN


Analysis: I really like the upside of this selection, as Mike McCarthy has previously said, “the Packers offense is built to maximize Ty Montgomery at RB.” Green Bay’s backfield is a jumbled up mess, and until training camp, their running back rotation will be all speculation. The Packers will be using him as their change of pace back to start the year, and he will have the first opportunity to win the starting role for week 1. In 8 contests throughout 2017, Montgomery averaged 8.6 points per game, enough for RB2 or flex consideration. If he can replicate that, my depth at RB is nuts.


Round 13:

145) Mohamed Sanu, WR — ATL

146) Jermaine Kearse, WR — NYJ

147) O.J. Howard, TE — TB

148) Cameron Brate, TE — TB

149) Dede Westbrook, WR — JAX

150) David Njoku, TE — CLE

151) Frank Gore, RB — MIA

152) Tyler Eifert, TE — CIN

153) Hayden Hurst, TE — BAL

154) Wayne Gallman, RB — NYG

155) Luke Wilson, TE — DET

156) Phillip Rivers, QB — LAC


Analysis: Although I am not a huge fan of drafting two TE’s in the same draft, I was left with no choice, as Jordan Reed is a glass cannon ready to be dropped. Cameron Brate is a high upside TE who has played exceptionally well with Jameis Winston under center. Although the emergence of O.J. Howard is likely, the Buccaneers seem to be inclined on using two TE sets. With Winston under center, Brate was a top four tight end with scoring potential. Although I hope not to use him, I’m comfortable with Brate as my backup TE and potential starter.


Round 14:

157) Philadelphia Eagles, DST — PHI

158) Chris Carson, RB — SEA

159) Matt Ryan, QB — ATL

160) Legarrette Blount, RB — CLE

161) Corey Clement, RB — PHI

162) Brandon Marshall, WR — SEA

163) Eric Ebron, TE — IND

164) Doug Martin, RB — OAK

165) Christian Kirk, WR — ARI

166) Samaje Perine, RB — WAS

167) Javorius Allen, RB — BAL

168) Matt Breida, RB — SF


Analysis: Kirk is a high upside player, with a low floor. The final few rounds should be used to find the best potential left on the board; there have been rumblings that Kirk will have opportunities to succeed during his rookie year. With the offense looking to focus on DJ and Fitz, the second round rookie could become a role player early in the year.


Round 15:

169) Houston Texans, DST — HOU

170) Los Angeles Chargers, DST — LAC

171) New England Patriots, DST — NE

172) Stephen Gostkowski, K — NE

173) Denver Bronocs, DST — DEN

174) Baltimore Ravens, DST — BAL

175) Kenneth Dixon, RB — BAL

176) Patrick Mahomes, QB — KC

177) Pittsburgh Steelers, DST — PIT

178) Seattle Seahawks, DST — SEA

179) Tampa Bay Buccaneers, DST — TB

180) Tyrell Williams, WR — LAC


Analysis: If I were to have waited until the final round to select my kicker, my options would not have been very pleasing. Depending on where I am selecting in the draft, I will usually pull the trigger early on a kicker to ensure landing a top three positional player. Dating back to 2012, Stephen Gostkowski has placed in the top 2 at the position in all but one year. New England’s placekicker is guaranteed to get an average of 9.8 fantasy points per game, and that is just his floor. Don’t be afraid to reach for a kicker! In a top three offense every year, Gostkowski is worth the pick.


Round 16:

181) Greg Zuerlein, K — LAR

182) Justin Tucker, K — BAL

183) Matt Bryant, K — ATL

184) Dan Bailey, K — DAL

185) Will Lutz, K — NO

186) Mason Crosby, K — GB

187) Jake Elliot, K — PHI

188) Chris Boswell, K — PIT

189) Derek Carr, QB — OAK

190) Matt Prater, K — DET

191) Robbie Gould, K — SF

192) Adam Vinatieri, K — IND


Analysis: I didn’t pull the trigger earlier to select my plan B at QB because of the rate at which quarterbacks were being selected. After missing the last game of the 2016 season, Derek Carr still ranked in the top 10 at his position. After an Injury marred 2017 campaign, I expect Carr to rebound. He is my 13th ranked quarterback heading into the season, and with his ceiling, there is a real possibility he ends 2018 in the top 10. Carr has the potential to become a star in this league, and that type of production could come in 2018. As my second quarterback on my roster, Carr was an excellent selection to close out the draft.

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