Fantasy Mock Pick #9: Standard Scoring


Written by: Alexander Amir


We’re officially 2/3 of the way through our Blitz mock drafts! This week we have pick #9, and this article is for our standard format. As you know (or should know by now), Blitz also releases full, 12-team mocks from each draft slot for standard, 0.5ppr, and 2 QB standard leagues. These mocks are done using FantasyPros’ Mock Draft Wizard, and the roster settings for today’s mock are as follows: 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1Flex (RB/WR/TE), D/ST (team defense), and K, with standard scoring. Make sure to check out all our other mocks and keep an eye out later this week for more!


Final Roster:

QB: Andrew Luck

RB: Kareem Hunt

RB: Derrius Guice

WR: Michael Thomas

WR: Stefon Diggs

WR: Jarvis Landry

TE: Trey Burton

FLX: Lamar Miller

DST: Tennessee Titans

K: Stephen Gostkowski


Bench:

WR: Robby Anderson

WR: Rishard Matthews

TE: George Kittle

WR: Michael Gallup

RB: Samaje Perine

RB: Spencer Ware


Overview: I’m taking a lot of chances on this team, and ended up with a very boom or bust roster. Andrew Luck obviously might be the biggest question, because while he has the potential to be a top 5 fantasy QB, he is attempting to return from a year long absence due to his shoulder injury. I’m less worried about him than others, however, since there is an abundance of starting QBs this year. I’m pretty confident that Hunt repeats his performance from last year, but his middle-of-the-season slump and the return of backup RB Spencer Ware could be cause for concern. Rookies always have questions when it comes to fantasy, and Guice is no exception. I think my wide receivers are my strongest group, but my backups all are either unproven or have a limited history of success. Finally, I have high hopes for Trey Burton, but he has never been a starter for a full season. Overall, this roster could burn me hard, or easily win me my league.


Round 1:

1) Todd Gurley, RB — LAR

2) Le’veon Bell, RB — PIT

3) Ezekiel Elliott, RB — DAL

4) David Johnson, RB — ARI

5) Alvin Kamara, RB — NO

6) Antonio Brown, WR — PIT

7) Saquon Barkley, RB — NYG

8) Leonard Fournette, RB — JAX

9) Kareem Hunt, RB — KC

10) Deandre Hopkins, WR — HOU

11) Julio Jones, WR — ATL

12) Melvin Gordon, RB — LAC


Analysis: In standard leagues I go for running backs in the first round about 95% of the time. They’re simply so much more valuable than wide receivers when points per reception is not involved. I flip flopped between Hunt and Gordon here, and in retrospect I may well regret passing on the safer Gordon. Hunt’s upside is through the roof though, and I personally don’t think he will regress much from last year given his integral role in the offense.


Round 2:

13) Odell Beckham, WR — NYG

14) Dalvin Cook, RB — MIN

15) Lesean Mccoy, RB — BUF

16) Michael Thomas, WR — NO

17) Devonta Freeman, RB — ATL

18) Keenan Allen, WR — LAC

19) Davante Adams, WR — GB

20) A.J. Green, WR — CIN

21) Rob Gronkowski, TE — NE

22) T.Y. Hilton, WR — IND

23) Christian Mccaffrey, RB — CAR

24) Jerick Mckinnon, RB — SF


Analysis: Had Dalvin Cook fallen here I would have definitely taken him, and I considered taking Freeman, but I thought Michael Thomas was too good to pass up. He’s been a top 10 receiver for each of the past two seasons, and he’s entering his 3rd year in the league, which is typically when young receivers break out. I considered Freeman, but I think the drop off between him and the rest of the top 10 running backs is too much to warrant passing on Thomas for.


Round 3:

25) Mike Evans, WR — TB

26) Adam Thielen, WR — MIN

27) Jordan Howard, RB — CHI

28) Doug Baldwin, WR — SEA

29) Josh Gordon, WR — CLE

30) Tyreek Hill, WR — KC

31) Joe Mixon, RB — CIN

32) Derrick Henry, RB — TEN

33) Stefon Diggs, WR — MIN

34) Mark Ingram, RB — NO

35) Kenyan Drake, RB — MIA

36) Travis Kelce, TE — KC


Analysis: I know, I know, it looks like I’m eating my words here taking two receivers in a row after preaching about the importance of running backs. But taking the best player available is generally more important in the first few rounds, and I LOVE Diggs this year. He gets an upgrade at QB with Cousins, who has a tendency to air it out much more than last year’s starter Case Keenum does. That should benefit Diggs the most as the offense’s primary downfield threat.


Round 4:

37) Aaron Rodgers, QB — GB

38) Zach Ertz, TE — PHI

39) Jay Ajayi, RB — PHI

40) Derrius Guice, RB — WAS

41) Deshaun Watson, QB — HOU

42) Amari Cooper, WR — OAK

43) Brandin Cooks, WR — LAR

44) Evan Engram, TE — NYG

45) Tom Brady, QB — NE

46) Rashaad Penny, RB — SEA

47) Larry Fitzgerald, WR — ARI

48) Juju Smith-Schuster, WR — PIT


Analysis: I had to go for a running back here, and I went with the one that has the biggest upside with the highest floor. While Samaje Perine is present in Washington, he was injured for most of last year, and the team spent a 2nd round pick on Guice. The rookie is an absolute bruiser, and should see lots of touches in a less pass-first offense under new QB Alex Smith.


Round 5:

49) Alex Collins, RB — BAL

50) Demaryius Thomas, WR — DEN

51) Allen Robinson, WR — CHI

52) Alshon Jeffery, WR — PHI

53) Royce Freeman, RB — DEN

54) Carlos Hyde, RB — CLE

55) Russell Wilson, QB — SEA

56) Marvin Jones, WR — DET

57) Jarvis Landry, WR — CLE

58) Golden Tate, WR — DET

59) Robert Woods, WR — LAR

60) Corey Davis, WR — TEN


Analysis: Again I was looking for a running back, but I was torn between Ronald Jones and Lamar Miller (see below) so I decided to see which one was left for me at my next pick. Landry was a beast last year, and now will get an upgrade at QB with Tyrod Taylor or Baker Mayfield. However, he joins an offense with more mouths to feed and may sacrifice some targets. Regardless, he should still do enough to be a high-end #3 receiver.


Round 6:

61) Ronald Jones, RB — TB

62) Devin Funchess, WR — CAR

63) Cam Newton, QB — CAR

64) Lamar Miller, RB — HOU

65) Will Fuller, WR — HOU

66) Sony Michel, RB — NE

67) Jimmy Graham, TE — GB

68) Michael Crabtree, WR — BAL

69) Tevin Coleman, RB — ATL

70) Greg Olsen, TE — CAR

71) Carson Wentz, QB — PHI

72) Julian Edelman, WR — NE


Analysis: Well, Miller was the one I was left with. We were reaching the end of the entrenched starters at running back, so it was imperative that I took one here. Miller hasn’t ever really reached the top 5 fantasy running back status expected of him, but he has quietly played better than people think. He’s been a top 20 back for 3 seasons, with a #6 finish in 2015 and #14 last year. He played extremely well with QB Deshaun Watson in the lineup, so hopefully he will reproduce this year.


Round 7:

73) Delanie Walker, TE — TEN

74) Chris Hogan, WR — NE

75) Kirk Cousins, QB — MIN

76) Sammy Watkins, WR — KC

77) Emmanuel Sanders, WR — DEN

78) Dion Lewis, RB — TEN

79) Cooper Kupp, WR — LAR

80) Kyle Rudolph, TE — MIN

81) Trey Burton, TE — CHI

82) Jordan Reed, TE — WAS

83) Jimmy Garoppolo, QB — SF

84) Pierre Garcon, WR — SF


Analysis: Burton and Reed were by far the best tight ends left, and I just don’t trust Reed’s injury history. I’ve written on why I like Burton here, but he essentially has a ton of upside as the safety blanket in Chicago’s new pass-first offense. However, like I said above, he doesn’t have experience being a 16-game starter, bringing some uncertainty with him.


Round 8:

85) Randall Cobb, WR — GB

86) Marquise Goodwin, WR — SF

87) Jordy Nelson, WR — OAK

88) Robby Anderson, WR — NYJ

89) Allen Hurns, WR — DAL

90) D.J. Moore, WR — CAR

91) Drew Brees, QB — NO

92) Philip Rivers, QB — LAC

93) Rex Burkhead, RB — NE

94) Devante Parker, WR — MIA

95) Marshawn Lynch, RB — OAK

96) Matthew Stafford, QB — DET


Analysis: With no running backs left that I liked and an abundance of quarterbacks, wide receiver was the next logical position to take. Anderson showed a lot of promise last year as he became the 16th ranked wide receiver out of nowhere, but much of that was tied to unexpected play from Josh McCown. While the 39-year old QB might not have that same success again, I have faith that either him, Teddy Bridgewater, or Sam Darnold will provide production at the position (who am I kidding, it’s the Jets, I have no faith. I’m just hoping).


Round 9:

97) Jamison Crowder, WR — WAS

98) Marlon Mack, RB — IND

99) Kelvin Benjamin, WR — BUF

100) Jacksonville Jaguars, DST — JAX

101) Kerryon Johnson, RB — DET

102) Tarik Cohen, RB — CHI

103) Calvin Ridley, WR — ATL

104) Los Angeles Rams, DST — LAR

105) Andrew Luck, QB — IND

106) Dez Bryant, WR — FA

107) Jamaal Williams, RB — GB

108) Chris Thompson, RB — WAS


Analysis: If you’ve read any of my other mocks, you’d know that I always wait on drafting a QB. Especially this year, the position is so deep that you can get a very good starter even after the 10th round. Andrew Luck, however, when healthy, is on a different plane of existence than most other QBs in this entire draft. He’s finished #9, #4, #2, #4 respectively in his 4 healthy seasons from 2012–2017. He’s a no-brainer this late, and if for some reason he fails to return from injury, I’m sure there will be a viable QB on the waiver wire to sub him with.


Round 10:

109) Isaiah Crowell, RB — NYJ

110) C.J. Anderson, RB — CAR

111) Duke Johnson, RB — CLE

112) Rishard Matthews, WR — TEN

113) Nelson Agholor, WR — PHI

114) Nick Chubb, RB — CLE

115) Aaron Jones, RB — GB

116) Legarrette Blount, RB — DET

117) Kenny Golladay, WR — DET

118) Martavis Bryant, WR — OAK

119) Sterling Shepard, WR — NYG

120) Cameron Meredith, WR — NO


Analysis: Running back was very thin on my roster at this point, but I had a plan to fill it up at the end of the draft. For now, I decided on a high upside receiver who is playing in a Titans offense that I think is poised for a big year. Read my piece with Marcus Mariota in it if you’d like to learn more (Luck is in there too). Matthews was the WR14 in 2016, but dropped off last year, in part, due to injury. If he stays healthy, I can see him being a nice bye week player or trade piece.


Round 11:

121) D’onta Foreman, RB — HOU

122) Marqise Lee, WR — JAX

123) Doug Martin, RB — OAK

124) Matt Breida, RB — SF

125) Anthony Miller, WR — CHI

126) Ty Montgomery, RB — GB

127) David Njoku, TE — CLE

128) Mike Williams, WR — LAC

129) George Kittle, TE — SF

130) Josh Doctson, WR — WAS

131) Tyler Lockett, WR — SEA

132) Minnesota Vikings, DST — MIN


Analysis: Despite how much I love Burton, I felt like I needed some insurance at tight end. I wasn’t really a fan of any of the guys being drafted at this point either, otherwise I would have kept on stacking my receivers and running backs. Kittle is another young tight end that built a bit of a rapport with a young QB last season. For more on him read my colleague Cody Manning’s piece on sleeper tight ends. If both Kittle and Burton break out, one of them would be traded away midseason from my team.


Round 12:

133) Kenny Stills, WR — MIA

134) Devontae Booker, RB — DEN

135) Tyler Eifert, TE — CIN

136) Michael Gallup, WR — DAL

137) Corey Clement, RB — PHI

138) O.J. Howard, TE — TB

139) Jared Goff, QB — LAR

140) Patrick Mahomes, QB — KC

141) Christian Kirk, WR — ARI

142) Jack Doyle, TE — IND

143) Desean Jackson, WR — TB

144) Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE — JAX


Analysis: Gallup’s ADP is two rounds lower than this, but I think his upside should put him higher than round 14. He will be in an offense with virtually no receiving threats aside from Allen Hurns, so there will be targets galore coming his way. He has quite a high ceiling simply given his athleticism, and is in an excellent offensive situation.


Round 13:

145) Ben Roethlisberger, QB — PIT

146) Jared Cook, TE — OAK

147) Matt Ryan, QB — ATL

148) James White, RB — NE

149) Theo Riddick, RB — DET

150) Cameron Brate, TE — TB

151) Philadelphia Eagles, DST — PHI

152) Geronimo Allison, WR — GB

153) Samaje Perine, RB — WAS

154) Bilal Powell, RB — NYJ

155) Marcus Mariota, QB — TEN

156) Chris Carson, RB — SEA


Analysis: At this point in the draft it might scare some people to only see 3 running backs on my team. But I told you I had a plan, and here it is: handcuffs! This popular strategy works best when there is a clear cut backup to a starter you have, and if Derrius Guice goes down, Samaje Perine will be the next man up. Honestly, Guice may not even start the season and Perine might get most of the snaps. While Guice is more talented they have similar running styles, so I doubt they would split time — one of them will win the sole starting job.


Round 14:

157) Paul Richardson, WR — WAS

158) Eric Ebron, TE — IND

159) Jameis Winston, QB — TB

160) Spencer Ware, RB — KC

161) Latavius Murray, RB — MIN

162) Nyheim Hines, RB — IND

163) Giovani Bernard, RB — CIN

164) Jordan Matthews, WR — NE

165) Jaron Brown, WR — SEA

166) Frank Gore, RB — MIA

167) Kenneth Dixon, RB — BAL

168) Chris Ivory, RB — BUF


Analysis: Here’s my other handcuff, and one who has actually shown he can be a successful starter. He was the RB16 in 2016 despite missing 2 games and has a career 4.6 yards per carry. He is injury prone, but that’s why he’s a handcuff and not the starter. If Hunt goes down, Ware immediately becomes a borderline RB1.


Round 15:

169) Los Angeles Chargers, DST — LAC

170) Houston Texans, DST — HOU

171) Baltimore Ravens, DST — BAL

172) Tyrell Williams, WR — LAC

173) Seattle Seahawks, DST — SEA

174) Denver Broncos, DST — DEN

175) Courtland Sutton, WR — DEN

176) Ricky Seals-Jones, TE — ARI

177) Stephen Gostkowski, K — NE

178) New Orleans Saints, DST — NO

179) Green Bay Packers, DST — GB

180) Dak Prescott, QB — DAL


Analysis: While everyone says it’s supposed to be defense THEN kicker in the last two rounds of the draft, I personally do the opposite. I stream a new defense every week, so why not end up with one of the best kickers in NFL history and a top 2 fantasy kicker in 5 of the past 6 years?


Round 16:

181) Greg Zuerlein, K — LAR

182) Justin Tucker, K — BAL

183) Matt Bryant, K — ATL

184) Tennessee Titans, DST — TEN

185) Jake Elliott, K — PHI

186) Chris Boswell, K — PIT

187) Wil Lutz, K — NO

188) Dan Bailey, K — DAL

189) Harrison Butker, K — KC

190) Matt Prater, K — DET

191) Robbie Gould, K — SF

192) Josh Lambo, K — JAX


Analysis: I assure you, I will drop the Titans defense immediately after week 1. But they’re playing the hapless Miami Dolphins to open the season, who have an absolutely abysmal roster top to bottom. I’ll happily take that matchup to start the year.

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