Blitzalytics Gambling Guide
Buffalo Bills Houston Texans
10-6 5th Seed 10-6 4th Seed AFC South Division Champ
Offensive PPG (19.6) Offensive PPG (23.6)
Defensive PPG (16.2) Defensive PPG (24.1)
Offensive YPG - 330 (128 Rush, 202 Pass) Offensive YPG - 362 (126 Rush, 236 Pass)
Defensive YPG - 298 (103 Rush, 195 Pass) Defensive YPG - 388 (121 Rush, 267 Pass)
Schedule
@NYJ 17-16 @NYG 28-14 @NO 28-30 JAX 13-12
CIN 21-17 NE 10-16 @LAC 27-20 CAR 10-16
@TEN 14-7 MIA 31-21 ATL 53-32 @KC 31-24
PHI 13-31 WAS 24-9 @IND 23-30 OAK 27-24
@CLE 16-19 @MIA 37-20 JAX 26-3 @BAL 7-41
DEN 20-3 @DAL 26-15 IND 20-17 NE 28-22
BAL 17-24 @PIT 17-10 DEN 24-38 @TEN 24-21
@NE 17-24 NYJ 6-13 @TB 23-20 TEN 14-35
Key Players
J. Allen 58.7% 3089 yds. 20TD-9INT D. Watson 67.3% 3852 yds. 26TD-12INT
D. Singletary 151 Carries 775 Yards 2 TDs C. Hyde 245 Carries 1070 Yards 6 TDs
J. Brown 72 Catches 1060 Yards 6 TDs D. Hopkins 104 Catches 1165 Yards 7 TDs
J. Phillips 31 Tack. 15 TFL 9.5 Sacks W. Mercilus 48 Tack. 14TFL 7.5 Sacks
T. White 6 INTs T. Gipson 3 INTs
Injuries
CB - Levi Wallace - Questionable DE - J.J. Watt - Questionable
WR - Andre Roberts - Questionable WR - Kenny Stills - Questionable
OL - Ty Nsekhe - Questionable TE - Jordan Thomas - Questionable
DE - Shaq Lawson - Questionable WR - Will Fuller - Questionable
OL - Laremy Tunsil - Questionable
CB - Bradley Roby - Questionable
CB - Jonathan Joseph - Questionable
S - Jahleel Addai - Questionable
LB - Jacob Martin - Questionable
Blitzalytics Analysis
Line Houston (-3) Over/Under 43.5 Against the Spread - Buffalo (10-6) Houston (8-8)
All eyes will be on the injury report this week as J.J. Watt and Will Fuller are questionable. If both players play, it could change the dynamic of the match-up as the offense improves by 16% when Will Fuller is on the field and it never hurts to have a Defensive Player of the Year back in uniform in J.J. Watt. Buffalo has proven that they can go into hostile territory and win big games. The Bills defense is top-notch allowing only 16 points a game.
The Degenerate Menace Says: Despite the fact that Fuller and Watt could play, the fact remains: Bill O’Brien is lousy in playoff games. Since 2016, the Texans are 1-3 in the playoffs with the one win being against a third-string quarterback in Oakland. Of the two home playoff games the Texans played in that span, they were outscored 51-7. Buffalo is a plucky bunch that has given New England all they can handle in two match-ups and embarrassed Dallas in Arlington on Thanksgiving day. I don’t see any reason why Buffalo can’t win this outright.
Predicted Score: Buffalo 23 - Houston 21