Blitzalytics Gambling Guide
Army Black Knights Navy Midshipmen
5-7 (3rd in Independent) 9-2 (2nd in AAC West)
Offensive PPG (30.3) Offensive PPG (39.3)
Defensive PPG (22.3) Defensive PPG (24.2)
Offensive YPG - 399 (312 Rush, 87 Pass) Offensive YPG - 465 (104 Rush, 361 Pass)
Defensive YPG - 338 (144 Rush, 194 Pass) Defensive YPG - 343 (110 Rush, 233 Pass)
Schedule
Rice 14-7 @Michigan 21-24 H. Cross 45-7 E. Car. 42-10
@UTSA 31-13 Morg. St. 52-21 @Mem. 23-35 A. Force 34-25
Tulane 33-42 @W. Ky. 8-17 @Tulsa 45-17 S. Fla. 35-3
@Ga. St. 21-28 SJ. St. 29-34 Tulane 41-38 UConn 56-10
@ A. Force 13-17 UMass 63-7 @N. Dme 20-52 SMU 35-28
@Hawaii 31-52 @Hous. 56-41
Key Players
K. Hopkins 42.7% 570 yds. 4TD-5INT M. Perry 54.4% 1027 yds. 6TD-3INT
137 Carries 706 Yards 7 TDs 238 Carries 1500 Yards 19 TDs
C. Harrison 23 Catches 415 Yards 3 TDs M. Cooper 15 Catches 355 Yards 2 TDs
E. Riley 54 Tack. 8 TFL 4 Sacks J. Springer 58 Tack. 13.5 TFL 7 Sacks
E. Riley 3 INT K. Brennan, E. Fochtman, C. Games 2 INT
Injuries
DB - Cam Jones - Out WR - Mychal Cooper - Questionable
SB - Keoni-Kardell Maheaku - Out
SB - Tazh Maloy - Questionable
LB - Kama Tuitele - Out
Blitzalytics Analysis
Line Navy (-10) Over/Under 40.5 Against the Spread - Army (5-7) Navy (8-3)
The roles have reversed for these two teams compared to a year ago. In 2018, Navy was playing poorly and not going to a bowl game while Army finished the season with 11 wins. This year, Army has not been able to beat anyone of any substance while the Midshipmen played quite well on their side of the American Athletic Conference. While the teams’ yardage totals are relatively close on both sides of the ball, the Sagarin Schedule Strength has Navy with the 73rd hardest schedule while Army stands at 124.
The Degenerate Menace Says: A typical Army-Navy game sees the underdog cover the spread and the total number going under for the most part. In this decade, 8 of the 10 results were within one score and 7 of 10 scored less than 40 points. However, this year seems a little different as Army’s success has come on a very poor schedule. The computer thinks that it is going to be a blowout and there will actually be an over.
Prediction: Navy 35 - Army 14