Blitz Mock 6th Overall Pick Strategy: 12-team, 0.5 PPR


Photo by Charles Leclair, USA Today Sports


Written by: Phillip Salmo


Can you believe that we are almost at the beginning of July? The start of the NFL season is rapidly approaching! In anticipation of that, and with it the start of fantasy football drafts, Blitzalytics is here to give our insight in how you can strategize for your fantasy football drafts later this summer. This week I’m drafting from pick #6 in our 0.5 PPR format. In addition to 0.5 PPR, Blitz will be releasing mocks from all sorts of league types, including 2QB, Standard, Dynasty, and Auction. These mocks are done using Fantasy Pros’ Mock Draft Wizard, and the roster settings for today’s mock are as follows: 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1Flex (RB/WR/TE), D/ST (team defense), and K, with 0.5 PPR. Make sure to be on the lookout for more mocks throughout the summer!


Final Roster:

QB: Baker Mayfield (CLE)

RB: Christian McCaffrey (CAR)

RB: Todd Gurley (LAR)

WR: T.Y Hilton (IND)

WR: Robert Woods (LAR)

WR: Alshon Jeffrey (PHI)

TE: David Njoku (CLE)

FLX: Lamar Miller (HOU)

DST: Cleveland Browns

K: Mason Crosby (GB)


Bench:

WR: Larry Fitzgerald (ARI)

RB: Ronald Jones II (TB)

QB: Philip Rivers (LAC)

WR: DaeSean Hamilton (DEN)

WR: Quincy Enunwa (NYJ)

TE: Trey Burton (CHI)


Overview: After having successfully completed drafts in the 0.5 PPR format that I felt very confident in, I had a fairly solid and predictable strategy for this week’s mock. Based on the somewhat added weight afforded to receptions in 0.5 PPR mocks versus standard drafts, it is essential to have excellent production from receivers and great depth at the position. While in this particular draft I drafted many wide receivers early on, there is also justification for taking early on a select few tight ends (about 3-4) in the NFL that have the type of production similar to the best wide receivers. However, based on the draft order and the options that I had in front of me, I ultimately decided to focus on receivers.


I am pleased with the starting receivers that I was able to pick up. T.Y Hilton had nearly 1,300 yards this past season, and is easily one of the highest-producing receivers in the game. In addition, Robert Woods and Alshon Jeffrey are poised to be amongst the top targets on their respective teams, making them solid choices in rounding my starting group of wide receivers. Woods is especially exciting, as he reached over 1,000 receiving yards for the first time in his career last season, and looks to build on that success this season. Despite neglecting the tight end position early on, I was pleased to pick up David Njoku as my starting TE. His production increased with the arrival of Baker Mayfield last season, and will likely continue to increase next season, despite the arrival of a plethora of weapons to the Cleveland offense.


While receiver is important, since starting-caliber running backs are few and far between (and since this is a 0.5 PPR and not a pure PPR one), it was important to strike a balance between high-producing receivers and running backs when taking my early picks. This is the reason why I took Christian McCaffrey with my first round pick, as he is poised to build on his nearly 2,000 yards of total offense (including over 1,000 yards rushing) from last season. In addition, despite the injury concerns and questions of deteriorating health around Todd Gurley, I believe that he can return to form this season. While his playing ability may start to decrease rapidly over the next few years due to the reported arthritis in his knee, there is still hope for him to be capable of producing close to his 2018 season totals of over 1,800 yards of offense and 21 total touchdowns this season. As the overall depth at running back is thin compared to that of wide receivers, it was important to bolster my starting two selections with Lamar Miller as my FLEX, who had nearly 1,000 yards rushing this past season.


These two elements of my draft strategy reduced the emphasis on finding a quarterback early on in the draft. This year may feature the deepest selection of starting quarterbacks ever, so I was able to find high-producing quarterbacks in later rounds of the draft. For my starting quarterback I took Baker Mayfield in the sixth round, who looks poised to build on his success from his rookie season with the arrival of new weapons, such as OBJ, to Cleveland. Later on, in the eleventh round, I was able to pick up Philip Rivers, a veteran starter who can still produce at a high level. Either of these quarterbacks would be a solid choice at starting quarterback. As this is a 1 QB mock instead of a 2 QB mock, the depth at QB was not as important as depth at other positions. Regardless of league format, a 1 QB mock will typically yield similar strategies with regards to picking up quarterbacks.


Very briefly, for defense and kicker strategy, wait until the last two rounds. The value simply isn’t there to get them any earlier, and to take them earlier would take away from the opportunity to draft at positions of much greater need.


Overall, I am pleased with how my draft turned out. I have great starting wide receivers, two excellent starting running backs, a solid TE, options at starting quarterback, a dependable defense, and depth at both the wide receiver and running back positions. Look out for Blitzalytics’ upcoming drafts in standard and PPR formats, as the strategies for these leagues differ from 0.5 PPR.


Round 1:

1) Saquon Barkley, RB - NYG

2) Ezekiel Elliott, RB - DAL

3) Alvin Kamara, RB - NO

4) Deandre Hopkins, WR - HOU

5) Davante Adams, WR - GB

6) Christian Mccaffrey, RB - CAR

7) Dalvin Cook, RB - MIN

8) Le'veon Bell, RB - NYJ

9) David Johnson, RB - ARI

10) Melvin Gordon, RB - LAC

11) Julio Jones, WR - ATL

12) James Conner, RB - PIT


Round 2:

13) Mike Evans, WR - TB

14) Keenan Allen, WR - LAC

15) Damien Williams, RB - KC

16) Antonio Brown, WR - OAK

17) George Kittle, TE - SF

18) Todd Gurley, RB - LAR

19) Travis Kelce, TE - KC

20) Michael Thomas, WR - NO

21) Nick Chubb, RB - CLE

22) Joe Mixon, RB - CIN

23) Odell Beckham, WR - CLE

24) Juju Smith-Schuster, WR - PIT


Round 3:

25) Zach Ertz, TE - PHI

26) Leonard Fournette, RB - JAC

27) Marlon Mack, RB - IND

28) Andrew Luck, QB - IND

29) Deshaun Watson, QB - HOU

30) T.Y. Hilton, WR - IND

31) A.J. Green, WR - CIN

32) Patrick Mahomes, QB - KC

33) Derrick Henry, RB - TEN

34) Adam Thielen, WR - MIN

35) Amari Cooper, WR - DAL

36) Devonta Freeman, RB - ATL


Round 4:

37) Aaron Jones, RB - GB

38) Chris Carson, RB - SEA

39) Cooper Kupp, WR - LAR

40) O.J. Howard, TE - TB

41) Chris Godwin, WR - TB

42) Robert Woods, WR - LAR

43) Kerryon Johnson, RB - DET

44) Kenny Golladay, WR - DET

45) Julian Edelman, WR - NE

46) Brandin Cooks, WR - LAR

47) Stefon Diggs, WR - MIN

48) Tyreek Hill, WR - KC


Round 5:

49) Tyler Lockett, WR - SEA

50) Dede Westbrook, WR - JAC

51) Sammy Watkins, WR - KC

52) Kenyan Drake, RB - MIA

53) Josh Jacobs, RB - OAK

54) Alshon Jeffery, WR - PHI

55) Calvin Ridley, WR - ATL

56) Sony Michel, RB - NE

57) Mike Williams, WR - LAC

58) Jarvis Landry, WR - CLE

59) Phillip Lindsay, RB - DEN

60) Robby Anderson, WR - NYJ


Round 6:

61) Tarik Cohen, RB - CHI

62) Will Fuller, WR - HOU

63) Evan Engram, TE - NYG

64) Tyler Boyd, WR - CIN

65) Mark Ingram, RB - BAL

66) Baker Mayfield, QB - CLE

67) Sterling Shepard, WR - NYG

68) Hunter Henry, TE - LAC

69) Allen Robinson, WR - CHI

70) D.j. Moore, WR - CAR

71) Aaron Rodgers, QB - GB

72) David Montgomery, RB - CHI


Round 7:

73) Corey Davis, WR - TEN

74) Cam Newton, QB - CAR

75) Matt Ryan, QB - ATL

76) Marvin Jones, WR - DET

77) James White, RB - NE

78) Lamar Miller, RB - HOU

79) Dante Pettis, WR - SF

80) Derrius Guice, RB - WAS

81) Russell Wilson, QB - SEA

82) Eric Ebron, TE - IND

83) Tevin Coleman, RB - SF

84) Carson Wentz, QB - PHI


Round 8:

85) Jared Goff, QB - LAR

86) Curtis Samuel, WR - CAR

87) Geronimo Allison, WR - GB

88) Jordan Howard, RB - PHI

89) Golden Tate, WR - NYG

90) Larry Fitzgerald, WR - ARI

91) Miles Sanders, RB - PHI

92) Christian Kirk, WR - ARI

93) Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR - GB

94) Drew Brees, QB - NO

95) Courtland Sutton, WR - DEN

96) N'keal Harry, WR - NE


Round 9:

97) Mecole Hardman, WR - KC

98) Emmanuel Sanders, WR - DEN

99) D.k. Metcalf, WR - SEA

100) Jerick Mckinnon, RB - SF

101) Latavius Murray, RB - NO

102) David Njoku, TE - CLE

103) Lesean Mccoy, RB - BUF

104) Chicago Bears, DST - CHI

105) Darrell Henderson, RB - LAR

106) Rashaad Penny, RB - SEA

107) Keke Coutee, WR - HOU

108) Anthony Miller, WR - CHI


Round 10:

109) Austin Ekeler, RB - LAC

110) Dion Lewis, RB - TEN

111) Los Angeles Rams, DST - LAR

112) Royce Freeman, RB - DEN

113) Desean Jackson, WR - PHI

114) Ronald Jones, RB - TB

115) Jameis Winston, QB - TB

116) Randall Cobb, WR - DAL

117) Donte Moncrief, WR - PIT

118) Kareem Hunt, RB - CLE

119) Michael Gallup, WR - DAL

120) Robert Foster, WR - BUF


Round 11:

121) James Washington, WR - PIT

122) Peyton Barber, RB - TB

123) Devin Funchess, WR - IND

124) Nyheim Hines, RB - IND

125) Matt Breida, RB - SF

126) Philip Rivers, QB - LAC

127) Marquise Brown, WR - BAL

128) Adrian Peterson, RB - WAS

129) D'onta Foreman, RB - HOU

130) Jacksonville Jaguars, DST - JAC

131) John Brown, WR - BUF

132) Marquise Goodwin, WR - SF


Round 12:

133) Ben Roethlisberger, QB - PIT

134) Ito Smith, RB - ATL

135) Carlos Hyde, RB - KC

136) Jamison Crowder, WR - NYJ

137) Tyrell Williams, WR - OAK

138) Daesean Hamilton, WR - DEN

139) Dak Prescott, QB - DAL

140) Kenny Stills, WR - MIA

141) Devante Parker, WR - MIA

142) Parris Campbell, WR - IND

143) Jack Doyle, TE - IND

144) Adam Humphries, WR - TEN


Round 13:

145) Jaylen Samuels, RB - PIT

146) Jared Cook, TE - NO

147) Tre'quan Smith, WR - NO

148) Duke Johnson, RB - CLE

149) Kalen Ballage, RB - MIA

150) Quincy Enunwa, WR - NYJ

151) Jamaal Williams, RB - GB

152) Rex Burkhead, RB - NE

153) Vance Mcdonald, TE - PIT

154) Delanie Walker, TE - TEN

155) C.j. Anderson, RB - DET

156) Austin Hooper, TE - ATL


Round 14:

157) Minnesota Vikings, DST - MIN

158) Mark Andrews, TE - BAL

159) Justice Hill, RB - BAL

160) Chris Herndon, TE - NYJ

161) Baltimore Ravens, DST - BAL

162) Trey Burton, TE - CHI

163) Marqise Lee, WR - JAC

164) Jason Witten, TE - DAL

165) Jordan Reed, TE - WAS

166) Devin Singletary, RB - BUF

167) Chris Thompson, RB - WAS

168) Elijah Mcguire, RB - NYJ


Round 15:

169) Zay Jones, WR - BUF

170) Los Angeles Chargers, DST - LAC

171) T.j. Hockenson, TE - DET

172) Houston Texans, DST - HOU

173) Mohamed Sanu, WR - ATL

174) Cleveland Browns, DST - CLE

175) New orleans Saints, DST - NO

176) Demaryius Thomas, WR - NE

177) New England Patriots, DST - NE

178) Kyler Murray, QB - ARI

179) Denver Broncos, DST - DEN

180) Indianapolis Colts, DST - IND


Round 16:

181) Robbie Gould, K - SF

182) Brett Maher, K - DAL

183) Adam Vinatieri, K - IND

184) Matt Prater, K - DET

185) Jake Elliott, K - PHI

186) Mason Crosby, K - GB

187) Wil Lutz, K - NO

188) Harrison Butker, K - KC

189) Stephen Gostkowski, K - NE

190) Ka'imi Fairbairn, K - HOU

191) Justin Tucker, K - BAL

192) Greg Zuerlein, K - LAR